Don’t look back in anger
Posted by Richard Marks at Mediatel on 20th May 2021
With the advent of UKOM Ipsos iris, industry expert Richard Marks looks at the precedents for handling a change in measurement and argues that it’s important to embrace that change rather than attempt to compare with the past
Iris, the new standard from Ipsos and UKOM, marks the start of a new era for online measurement in the UK. There’s a new supplier, a new user-centric approach, richer data and opportunities for campaign measurement, all delivered with new and improved analysis software and dashboard.
However, making a fundamental change to a currency marks a point of inevitable discontinuity, a point of departure from the old to the new. This makes attempting to compare data between the two measurement systems unwise.
Over the last couple of decades, I have been involved in the transition of many measurement currencies around the world, either to a different supplier, an improved methodology or often both. Before each launch, a lot of work is put in behind the scenes to check that changes to measured audiences make sense in the context of the new ways those audiences are being measured.
Nonetheless, it is understood that those audiences will not be the same. After all, if they were identical, then what would be the point of moving to a new system?
In this case, the new system has at its heart for the first time a single source, multi-device panel, delivering richer data in an improved reporting tool. Some element of discontinuity is a small price to pay for a significant upgrade to the system that drives online media planning in the UK.
Even so, once the new data is published, it can be hard for users to resist the temptation to want to compare; “are we up or down?” – it’s only human nature. And yes, there will be differences, but to really benefit from what the new system has to offer it’s important not to look back, nor to attempt to somehow retrofit the new data into what has come before.
As a result, UKOM is advising users not to look at trend data, not to create a form of exchange rate between the new and the old data. This does not mean that the old data is somehow wrong. Through defining and governing iris, UKOM has moved from one estimate of audiences to a different way of measuring those audiences that gets us closer to ‘truth’, but neither measurement is the truth.
I was once phoned by a panicked client who had seen two surveys on a topic that day that seemed to contradict each other and demanded: “So Richard which one is right?”
My answer was that actually neither of them was likely to be the truth, but one of them would be closer to the truth than the other. The degree to which he cursed my pedantry after he put the phone down is not recorded, but I stand by my answer.
Good currencies represent our best attempts to get close to the truth using the most appropriate and state of the art solutions available. They do not stand still.
So UKOM is wise to advise to regard this new beginning as year zero and warn against trending data across the transition.
Yes, there will be a step change in some estimates, but attempting to trend across the two different currencies runs the risk of giving the false impression that an audience has gone up or down. Or that somehow the old estimate was right – “the truth” as my client put it – as that is what we were used to.
There are strong precedents for taking this reboot approach when a currency has a fundamental change. …
… read on at mediatel.co.uk
Originally posted by Richard Marks at Mediatel
20th May 2021